Be careful out there

Batten down the hatches - there's a twister on its way.
BERGEN, ESSEX, HUDSON, HUNTERDON, MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH, MORRIS, OCEAN, PASSAIC, SOMERSET, SUSSEX, WARREN

Hail, thunderstorms wind gusts up to 70 miles per hour and lightning are also possible in these areas.

A tornado watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. You should be on the lookout for threatening weather this afternoon and be prepared for possible warnings.

You can get up to the minute updates from NOAA here

Public (Test) | Counties | Probabilities | Aviation | Warnings | Initial RADAR

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL6 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 600 PM EDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PITTSFIELD MASSACHUSETTS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG A BAND FROM CENTRAL NY INTO EASTERN PA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. INSTABILITY IS QUITE WEAK...AND CONVECTION HAS THUS FAR BEEN TOO SHALLOW TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS VERY STRONG AND THE RISK EXISTS FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS OR SMALL BOW ECHOES. RECENT RADAR TRENDS HAVE CONFIRMED THAT RISK. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. ...HART Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low Note: See the experimental Public Watch (SEL) product with explicit hazard information section below. The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL6 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 600 PM EDT. SEVERAL TORNADOES WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PITTSFIELD MASSACHUSETTS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG A BAND FROM CENTRAL NY INTO EASTERN PA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. INSTABILITY IS QUITE WEAK...AND CONVECTION HAS THUS FAR BEEN TOO SHALLOW TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS VERY STRONG AND THE RISK EXISTS FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS OR SMALL BOW ECHOES. RECENT RADAR TRENDS HAVE CONFIRMED THAT RISK. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. ...HART Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low SEL6 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CONNECTICUT WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 600 PM EDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PITTSFIELD MASSACHUSETTS TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG A BAND FROM CENTRAL NY INTO EASTERN PA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. INSTABILITY IS QUITE WEAK...AND CONVECTION HAS THUS FAR BEEN TOO SHALLOW TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS VERY STRONG AND THE RISK EXISTS FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS OR SMALL BOW ECHOES. RECENT RADAR TRENDS HAVE CONFIRMED THAT RISK. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE GREATEST THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. ...HART Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. WOUS64 KWNS 281457 WOU6 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010 TORNADO WATCH 686 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS CTC001-005-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD LITCHFIELD MAC003-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ MA . MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKSHIRE NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029- 031-033-035-037-039-041-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SALEM SOMERSET SUSSEX UNION WARREN NYC001-005-007-017-021-025-027-039-047-053-057-059-061-065-071- 077-079-081-083-085-087-093-095-105-111-119-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY BRONX BROOME CHENANGO COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS GREENE KINGS MADISON MONTGOMERY NASSAU NEW YORK ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO PUTNAM QUEENS RENSSELAER RICHMOND ROCKLAND SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN ULSTER WESTCHESTER PAC011-017-025-029-045-069-077-079-089-091-095-101-103-115-127- 131-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKS BUCKS CARBON CHESTER DELAWARE LACKAWANNA LEHIGH LUZERNE MONROE MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PHILADELPHIA PIKE SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE WYOMING ANZ335-338-355-431-282200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.100928T1500Z-100928T2200Z/ CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY NEW YORK HARBOR SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...ALY... Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas. SAW6 WW 686 TORNADO CT MA NJ NY PA CW 281500Z - 282200Z AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 65WNW PSF/PITTSFIELD MA/ - 20SSW ACY/ATLANTIC CITY NJ/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /30W ALB - 6NE SIE/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035. LAT...LON 42777319 39187351 39187594 42777576 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU6. Watch 686 Status Report Message has not been issued yet. Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood Moderate Low Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind Low Low Severe Hail 2"+ Hail Very Low Very Low